understanding politics, considerations

Solving the Middle East, Part VI: Israel and Syria


June 13th, 2007 · Iran, Islam, Israel and the Middle East, Law and Legal Affairs, Religion, World Affairs

golan-heights.jpg

Sixth in a series 

In the­ory, the con­flict between Israel and Syria seems to be the eas­i­est to solve. The pri­mary source of ten­sion is the Golan Heights, which Israel took in self-defense and set­tled fol­low­ing the Six-Day War. I’ve always envi­soned a nego­ti­ated set­tle­ment that resem­bles Israel’s return of the Sinai Pen­nin­sula (which it also gained in the war) to Egypt:

  • Israel gives back the Golan Heights in exchange for full peace and diplo­matic rela­tions between the two coun­tries with Syria;
  • Both coun­tries estab­lish a demil­i­ta­rized zone extend­ing a equal num­ber of kilo­me­ters from the Golan Heights, and the United Nations con­tin­ues its peace­keep­ing pres­ence for as long as needed;
  • Syria agrees to stop help­ing Hizbol­lah, the ter­ror­ist orga­ni­za­tion has been attack­ing Israel for years; and
  • Israel and Syria agree to share the Sea of Galilee since access to fresh­wa­ter is a pri­mary (if less reported) source of conflict.

How hard is that? Why has it taken forty years? To be hon­est, I’ve never quite under­stood the rea­sons for the pro­longed ten­sion. (At least Israeli Prime Min­is­ter Ehud Olmert has been secretly send­ing peace over­tures to Dam­as­cus, and the Syr­ian gov­ern­ment seems to be recep­tive.)

One pos­si­ble rea­son for the dif­fi­culty in mak­ing peace is that Syr­ian Pres­i­dent Bashar al-Assad’s gov­ern­ment, as a friend of mine recently explained, is Alaw­ite Mus­lim (a sect of Shi’a Islam) while the large major­ity of the Syr­ian peo­ple are Sunni Mus­lims. There is a con­flict between Sunni and Shi’a Islam in many parts of the Mus­lim world, and the regime, of course, wants to ensure its sur­vival. Mak­ing peace with Israel is always con­tro­ver­sial, to say the least.

Iran, of course, would also be opposed to peace with Israel. Iran wants to become the dom­i­nant regional power, and Syria is one of its clos­est allies. (I have yet to under­stand what Syria — or any­one, for that mat­ter — gains from hav­ing friendly rela­tions with Iran, but per­haps the sim­ple rea­son is that both gov­ern­ments are Shi’a ones.) Iran, after all, has been fight­ing a war with Israel by trans­port­ing weapons through Dam­as­cus to its proxy, Hizbollah.

Still, I remain con­vinced that other Mid­dle East­ern coun­tries will, in the end, accept Israel out of eco­nomic neces­sity. Israel has the strongest econ­omy in the region (though the United Arab Emi­rates is grow­ing rapidly as well), and its neigh­bors will need to build free-market sys­tems — with Israel — if they ever want their peo­ple to increase their qual­i­ties of life. Syria is no exception.

The entire, ongo­ing series: Part V: The Right of Return; Part IV: The Pales­tini­ans Need a Viable State; Part III: Set­tle­ments and the Sep­a­ra­tion Bar­rier; Part II: Israel Needs Elec­toral Reform; Part I: Fix the Pales­tin­ian Authority

Tags: