understanding politics, considerations

The GOP’s Future


October 5th, 2007 · Christianity, Iraq, Law and Legal Affairs, Religion, World Affairs

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As I wrote in a prior post, the Repub­li­can Party is in tur­moil. New York Times colum­nist David Brooks agrees:

To put it bluntly, over the past sev­eral years, the G.O.P. has made ide­o­log­i­cal choices that offend conservatism’s Burkean roots. This may seem like an airy-fairy thing that does noth­ing more than pro­voke a few dis­sent­ing columns from William F. Buck­ley, George F. Will and Andrew Sul­li­van. But sub­ur­ban, Mid­west­ern and many busi­ness vot­ers are dis­po­si­tional con­ser­v­a­tives more than creedal con­ser­v­a­tives. They care about order, pru­dence and bal­anced bud­gets more than trans­for­ma­tional lead­er­ship and per­pet­ual tax cuts. It is among these groups that G.O.P. sup­port is collapsing.

I would add two addi­tional rea­sons: After hold­ing power for twelve years, the Repub­li­can Party became arro­gant, cor­rupt, and overly depen­dent on the evan­gel­i­cal Chris­tians who com­prise its base.

Lord Acton was cor­rect: Absolute power cor­rupts absolutely, regard­less of whether the gov­ern­ment is lib­eral, con­ser­v­a­tive or mod­er­ate. The vot­ers kicked the Democ­rats out of power in 1994 because they had become cor­rupt, and the same thing hap­pened to the Repub­li­cans in 2006.

How­ever, absolute power in gov­ern­ment also caused the Repub­li­cans to aban­don their tra­di­tional prin­ci­ples. They wanted to main­tain power at any cost. They stopped being fis­cal con­ser­v­a­tives when they real­ized that they could fun­nel bil­lions of dol­lars of pork-barrel projects to their dis­tricts. They for­got about their desire not to med­dle in world affairs and began wag­ing wars for oil and democracy.

The White House’s was able to imple­ment its neo-conservative beliefs as long as the Repub­li­can Party could hold its base together, but now it is falling apart. Fis­cal con­ser­v­a­tives began to aban­don the party for peo­ple like Ron Paul. Social con­ser­v­a­tives started to desert the party when Pres­i­dent Bush wanted to give amnesty to ille­gal immi­grants. Evan­gel­i­cal Chris­tians may form a third-party if the Repub­li­cans nom­i­nate pro-choice front-runner Rudy Giuliani.

Karl Rove’s so-called per­ma­nent major­ity is dying. In fact, it was never even viable. No polit­i­cal party or phi­los­o­phy could ever gain such a stran­gle­hold on a coun­try as large and diverse as the United States.