understanding politics, considerations

Game-Theory Examples and Game-Theory Problems in Dating


April 29th, 2008 · Dating and Relationships, World Affairs

Mark Gimein dis­cusses why so many women believe that there are no good men left:

You can think of this tra­di­tional con­cept of the search for mar­riage part­ners as a kind of an auc­tion. In this auc­tion, some women will be more con­fi­dent of their prospects, oth­ers less so. In game-theory terms, you would call the first group “strong bid­ders” and the sec­ond “weak bid­ders.” Your first thought might be that the “strong bidders”—women who (whether because of looks, social abil­ity, or any other rea­son) are con­ven­tion­ally deemed more of a catch—would con­sis­tently win this kind of auction.

But this is not true. In fact, game the­ory pre­dicts, and empir­i­cal stud­ies of auc­tions bear out, that auc­tions will often be won by “weak” bid­ders, who know that they can be out­bid and so bid more aggres­sively, while the “strong” bid­ders will hold out for a really great deal…

This is how you come to the Eligible-Bachelor Para­dox, which is no longer so para­dox­i­cal. The pool of appeal­ing men shrinks as many are mar­ried off and taken out of the game, leav­ing a dis­pro­por­tion­ate num­ber of men who are notably imper­fect (per­haps they are short, socially awk­ward, under­em­ployed). And at the same time, you get a pool of women weighted toward the attrac­tive, desir­able “strong bidders.”

Where have all the most appeal­ing men gone? Mar­ried young, most of them — and some­times to women whose most salient char­ac­ter­is­tic was not their beauty, or pas­sion, or intel­lect, but their decisiveness.

In essence, Gimein is say­ing that the women (and per­haps the men) who choose to be the pick­i­est are the ones who are most likely to remain sin­gle. While this is com­mon sense, it is also more rel­e­vant to today’s dat­ing world. As I wrote in an ear­lier essay, one unin­tended con­se­quence of fem­i­nism has been to make women pick­ier. Evo­lu­tion­ary psy­chol­ogy has instilled a need in women to date “up” — in other words, they devel­oped the desire for addi­tional secu­rity, strength, and resources in a mate to com­pen­sate for their phys­i­cal weak­ness at a time when they were unable to fend for them­selves in the pri­mal state of nature thou­sands of years ago.

Now, how­ever, women can fend for them­selves. They have as much access to employ­ment and edu­ca­tion as men. In short, they no longer need men to sur­vive. But women still desire to date “up,” and there are fewer men who suit their desires as they move fur­ther “up” them­selves. No female CEO is going to marry a plumber. So the suc­cess­ful women who are this picky remain sin­gle because they are only try­ing to find some­one who ful­fills their evo­lu­tion­ary and bio­log­i­cal imper­a­tives. And, as Gimein notes, there are fewer men avail­able with each pass­ing year. The women who are suc­cess­ful are those who choose early.