understanding politics, considerations

A Third Intifada?


October 7th, 2009 · Business, Economics, and Finance, Israel and the Middle East, Law and Legal Affairs, Religion, World Affairs

RISHON LEZION, Israel — A senior Fatah offi­cial told the Jerusalem Post that recent riots in Jerusalem might lead to another Pales­tin­ian upris­ing. Don’t believe him. A car­di­nal rule of life in the Mid­dle East is that every­one, on all sides, openly lies and exag­ger­ates — both to the media and in per­sonal con­ver­sa­tions with friends.

First, Israeli incur­sions into the West Bank over the past sev­eral years have demol­ished ter­ror­ist net­works there. Sec­ond, the sep­a­ra­tion bar­rier has made it incred­i­bly dif­fi­cult to infil­trate Israel proper. Third, the West Bank’s econ­omy has improved greatly since the removal of many road­blocks and secu­rity check­points. From what I have read, there is not a strong under­cur­rent of anger seething below the sur­face of Pales­tin­ian society.

Noth­ing sig­nif­i­cant should change soon on either the Israeli or Pales­tin­ian side. The sta­tus quo, as messy as it is, will continue.