understanding politics, considerations

Massachusetts Upset? I don’t think so.


January 20th, 2010 · Uncategorized

In case you missed it, Mass­a­chu­setts now has one GOP and one Demo­c­ra­tic US Sen­a­tor. I say: why is every­one so surprised?

Last week, a blog­ger for the New York Times called Mass­a­chu­setts “bluer-than-blue.” Not to toot my own horn, but I, for one, knew he was wrong.

True, the state leg­is­la­ture is over­whelm­ingly Demo­c­ra­tic. True, the cur­rent gov­er­nor is a Democrat.

Its four prior gov­er­nors, how­ever, were Repub­li­cans, and indeed a major­ity of MA gov­er­nors since Ted Kennedy was first elected have been Repub­li­can.  Also since then, Mass­a­chu­settsans have waivered back and forth, elec­tion to election.

More­over, once elected, Ted Kennedy was the only Class I Sen­a­tor for Mass­a­chu­setts till his death last year. That doesn’t make Mass­a­chu­setts blue.  It makes it like the rest of the coun­try: either apa­thetic or truly trust­ing of incum­bents. Among Class II Sen­a­tors elected since Kennedy took office, one was Repub­li­can, and two have been Democrats.

None of these things make Mass­a­chu­setts a “blue” state.  None of them sup­port the the­sis that there’s a major shift in the air.

The Boston Globe reports that “Voter anger caught fire.”  Fox calls Brown’s win “an upset.”  Demo­c­ra­tic strate­gists are no doubt cry­ing into their non-fat caramel mac­chi­atos.  Obama is likely freak­ing out about the impend­ing death of a health­care bill that might not be worth it any­way.  Brown is talk­ing about he and the Repub­li­cans can do bet­ter than a Obama and the Democrats.

But, from all of this, we should take away prob­a­bly only three real, con­crete lessons:

  1. The two-party sys­tem is alive and well.  The Lib­er­tar­ian can­di­date got only one per­cent of the vote, and vot­ers picked the major-party can­di­date they fig­ured would best rep­re­sent them for the next cou­ple years.
  2. The news-media is not help­ing democ­racy, and it’s not report­ing accu­rately.  For years, the media has uni­formly labeled Mass­a­chu­settsans as “lib­eral.”  Many who have lived there know that peo­ple and pol­i­tics in the state are much more nuanced, and Mass­a­chu­setts is not mono­lithic.  Now, of course, the media is reel­ing, call­ing the elec­tion an “upset” and search­ing among shad­ows for rea­sons.  Really, had they not been so hell-bent on type­cast­ing the Com­mon­wealth for so long, the media wouldn’t have to jus­tify their wrong pre­dic­tions.  Fur­ther­more, labelling states “Red” or “Blue” not only sim­pli­fies things to the point of absur­dity and dis­tor­tion, it con­fuses peo­ple and upsets the demo­c­ra­tic process.  See #3.
  3. The Mass­a­chu­setts Demo­c­ra­tic Party needs to learn that you can’t just run a shoddy cam­paign for an uncharis­matic can­di­date and expect to win.  See #2.

So, there you have one man’s take on the Mass­a­chu­setts elec­tion.  The long-and-short of it is this: next time the under­dog wins, don’t be sur­prised.  Be happy there was a choice to begin with.